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Demand Forecasting Methods MCQ

The ______ is determined by minimizing the total annual costs, which is the sum of the total annual setup and holding costs.

Answer

Correct Answer: Optimal production quantity

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______ is a system in which optimum levels of inventory are determined and updated continuously across the supply chain network based on the demand variability, lead times, delays, and service levels at the higher levels in the supply chain.

Answer

Correct Answer: Multi-echelon inventory system

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______ is a system that accounts for inventory cost and enables companies to recognize the excessive costs associated with forward buying when trade deals and quantity discounts are offered.

Answer

Correct Answer: Activity-based costing

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______ is a system in which each supply chain partner sequentially forecasts demand, invariably lead to the bullwhip effect.

Answer

Correct Answer: Single-echelon inventory system

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______ is the cost incurred when the demand for a product cannot be met because of a shortage of inventory.

Answer

Correct Answer: Stock-out cost

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______ is the cycle time needed to match our production rate to demand for the product.

Answer

Correct Answer: Takt time

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______ is a quantitative method in which time-ordered sequence of observations is taken at regular intervals over a period of time.

Answer

Correct Answer: Time series

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______ is the average time it takes from the submission of a customer’s purchase order until the company delivers the order.

Answer

Correct Answer: Order-fulfillment lead time

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Which of the following is the cost of changing over production from one item to another?

Answer

Correct Answer: Setup cost

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______ is a function that enables production to continue temporarily while the production problem at a given process stage is resolved.

Answer

Correct Answer: Decoupling

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______ is the extra inventory a company holds to cope with unexpected shortages.

Answer

Correct Answer: Safety stock

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______ is the result of a change in consumer demand that causes a company in a supply chain in close proximity to the consumer to order more goods from the immediate upstream supplier to meet the demand.

Answer

Correct Answer: Bullwhip effect

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______ is a process when an upstream supply chain member such as a manufacturer sells directly to the final consumer, bypassing distributors and retailers.

Answer

Correct Answer: Disintermediation

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______ is money paid to an upstream supplier for materials or goods purchased.

Answer

Correct Answer: Purchase costs

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______ is inventory purchased in advance to guard against uncertainties in pricing.

Answer

Correct Answer: Hedge inventory

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______ is inventory held in excess of a firm’s cycle stock to meet the expected increase in demand.

Answer

Correct Answer: Anticipation inventory

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______ is counting a random sample or subset of inventory in stock in a particular location on a specific day to verify that inventory accuracy rates are not too far off target.

Answer

Correct Answer: Cycle counting

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_____ are administrative costs related to determining an order quantity, preparing purchase invoices, inspecting goods received for quality and quantity, and moving goods for temporary storage.

Answer

Correct Answer: Ordering costs

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______ is a pattern in which demand either increases or decreases in successive periods.

Answer

Correct Answer: Linear trend

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______ is the proportion of variation explained by regression.

Answer

Correct Answer: Coefficient of determination

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______ is a pattern in which the level of demand increases initially and levels off in the long term.

Answer

Correct Answer: Damped trend

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______ is the intuition or the experienced judgment of others.

Answer

Correct Answer: Expert opinion

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______ is the average of the sum of the squared differences between the actual and the forecasted demand values.

Answer

Correct Answer: Mean squared error

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______ is a qualitative method that attempts to eliminate or minimize the problem of bias in the opinion of a single expert by using a panel of experts to generate forecasts.

Answer

Correct Answer: Delphi method

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______ is a variable that when changed causes an effect on a dependent variable.

Answer

Correct Answer: Independent variable

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______ is a forecasting method in which it is assumed that the demand in the next period will be the same as it is in the current period.

Answer

Correct Answer: Naïve approach

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______ is a pattern in which demand either increases or decreases irregularly.

Answer

Correct Answer: Nonlinear trend

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A ______ item is unrelated to the demand of any other product or item.

Answer

Correct Answer: Independent demand

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______ is a measure of the difference between the mean Y and the predicted or computed value of Y using regression.

Answer

Correct Answer: Regression sum of squares

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A ______ item is a part or component of an end product.

Answer

Correct Answer: Dependent demand

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______ is a short-term time series forecasting method in which the average of the most recent demand periods are used to predict demand in the future period.

Answer

Correct Answer: Moving average

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______ is a method used to forecast demand for a new product or service that is similar to existing products.

Answer

Correct Answer: Historical life-cycle analogy

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Weighted moving average is a ______

Answer

Correct Answer: Short-term time series

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Trend-adjusted exponential smoothing is a variation of simple exponential smoothing that includes a trend factor

Answer

Correct Answer: Trend factor

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The long-term movement (increasing or decreasing) of data over time is known as

Answer

Correct Answer: Trend

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______ measure of the variation of the actual Y values around the mean Y Total sum of squares

Answer

Correct Answer: Total sum of squares

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A sequence of regular intervals over a period of time is known as

Answer

Correct Answer: Time series

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Standard error of the estimate is a measure of the variation of the actual (observed) y values from the predicted y values ( ŷi)

Answer

Correct Answer: True

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Which method is used for calculating seasonal indices by dividing the average demand for each season by the average total demand to arrive at the seasonal indices for each month?

Answer

Correct Answer: Simple average method

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Seasonal indices is a factors that capture the seasonal contribution to demand in each period _____

Answer

Correct Answer: During the year

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A measure of the difference between the mean Y and the predicted or computed value of Y using regression is known as

Answer

Correct Answer: Regression sum of squares

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Quantitative method is a forecasting method based on measurable, historical data and evidence

Answer

Correct Answer: True

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A forecasting method based on intuition, judgment, or informed opinions of experts in the industry, used if no measurable, reliable, historical, or statistical data are available is known as

Answer

Correct Answer: Qualitative method

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A pattern in which demand either increases or decreases irregularly is known as

Answer

Correct Answer: Nonlinear trend

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______ is a forecasting method in which it is assumed that the demand in the next period will be the same as it is in the current period

Answer

Correct Answer: Naïve approach

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Multiplicative model is a model of combining trends and _______

Answer

Correct Answer: Seasonal components

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Multiple linear regression is a technique that models the relationship between a dependent variable and _____

Answer

Correct Answer: Several independent variables

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Moving average most recent demand periods are used to predict demand in the future period

Answer

Correct Answer: True

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Mean squared error is the ______ between the actual and the forecasted demand values

Answer

Correct Answer: Sum of the squared differences

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Mean squared error is the average of the sum of the squared differences between the actual and the forecasted demand values

Answer

Correct Answer: True

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A measure of the absolute error as a percentage of the actual demand is known as

Answer

Correct Answer: Mean absolute percentage error

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MAD stands for (in operational management)

Answer

Correct Answer: Mean Absolute Deviation

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A method in which the seasonal indices are expressed as percentages and the combined forecast is expressed as percentage adjustments of the underlying linear trend is known as

Answer

Correct Answer: Linear trend multiplicative method

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Linear trend is a pattern in which demand _____ in successive periods

Answer

Correct Answer: Either increases or decreases

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Linear regression analysis models the relationship between _________ And __________

Answer

Correct Answer: Dependent variable and one or more independent variables

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Why is the Least-squares method used ?

Answer

Correct Answer: Draw the line of best fit in linear regression

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Number of unemployment insurance claims, inventory changes, and stock prices used to track cyclical fluctuations is known as

Answer

Correct Answer: Leading indicators

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Irregular variations caused by _______

Answer

Correct Answer: Uncommon factors

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predictor variable is also known as

Answer

Correct Answer: Independent variable

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An item whose demand is unrelated to the demand of any other product or item is known as

Answer

Correct Answer: Independent demand

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Which method is used to forecast demand for a new product or service that is similar to existing products.

Answer

Correct Answer: Historical life-cycle analogy

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Average of all previous observations that gives progressively less weight to older observations.This Statement is true for

Answer

Correct Answer: Exponential smoothing

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_______ is an examples of nonlinear trends

Answer

Correct Answer: Exponential growth

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The intuition or the experienced judgment of experts is also called

Answer

Correct Answer: Expert opinion

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Define Error sum of squares

Answer

Correct Answer: A measure of the variation not explained by the regression model but resulting from other factors or variables

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In dependent or predicted variable is a variable that is affected by an independent or predictor variable

Answer

Correct Answer: True

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Demand for a part or component that depends on the demand for the end product is known as

Answer

Correct Answer: Dependent demand

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______ is a qualitative method that attempts to eliminate or minimize the problem of bias in the opinion of a single expert by using a panel of experts to generate forecasts

Answer

Correct Answer: Delphi method

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Damped trend is a pattern in which the level of demand ______ and levels off in the long term

Answer

Correct Answer: Increases initially

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wave-like oscillations in demand about the trend line caused by changes in economic or business cycles.This statement is best for

Answer

Correct Answer: Cyclical variations

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The sum of the differences between the actual and the forecasted demand values is known as

Answer

Correct Answer: Cumulative sum error

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Correlation coefficient value between _____ and _____

Answer

Correct Answer: –∞ & +∞
–1 & +1

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Define Coefficient of determination

Answer

Correct Answer: The proportion of variation explained by regression

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Which method is used for calculating seasonal indices in which moving averages for each season are centered

Answer

Correct Answer: Centered moving average method

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Which model is used to combine trends and seasonal components in which the seasonal indices are added to the projected trend?

Answer

Correct Answer: Additive model

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